Stock Market Today
Negative earnings reactions for mega-caps Amazon.com and Apple weighed on broader markets today.U.S. stocks finished both the day and the month on a down note as a fresh round of earnings forecasts from companies only added to investors’ laundry list of concerns.
Last night, Amazon.com (AMZN, -14.1%) said first-quarter revenue rose 7% on a year-over-year basis – the slowest pace in 20 years – to $116.4 billion, just shy of the consensus estimate. AMZN also offered lower-than-expected Q2 revenue guidance due to forex headwinds and the company’s plan to move this year’s Prime Day to July from June.
Apple (AAPL) was another post-earnings decliner, sliding 3.7%. The tech giant reported a 9% annual rise in revenue to $97.3 billion – the most ever for a March quarter – but warned supply-chain issues caused by COVID-related lockdowns in China could create a $4 billion to $8 billion drag on sales in the current quarter.
“The guidance from multiple companies on the supply-chain situation and expenses going up seems to be weighing down the market after the brief recovery days,” says Jimmy Lee, CEO of independent wealth management firm The Wealth Consulting Group. “So, I’m fairly happy with how the consumer seems to be holding up so far [adjusted for inflation, consumer spending rose 0.2% month-over-month in March, according to this morning’s Commerce Department report], but Q2 will be more telling and sets up stocks to continue the volatility that we’ve seen so far this year.”
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That volatility was on full display today, with the Nasdaq Composite sinking 4.2% to 12,334, the S&P 500 Index spiraling 3.6% to 4,131 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average surrendering 2.8% to 32,977.
For all of April, the Nasdaq shed 13.3% – marking its biggest monthly decline since October 2008 – the S&P 500 fell 8.8% and Dow gave back 4.9% for their worst months since March 2020.
YCharts
Other news in the stock market today:
The small-cap Russell 2000 slumped 2.8% to 1,864.U.S. crude oil futures slipped 0.6% to end at $104.69 per barrel.Gold futures gained 1.1% to finish at $1,911.70 an ounce.Bitcoin fell 4% to $38,351.14. (Bitcoin trades 24 hours a day; prices reported here are as of 4 p.m.)Tesla (TSLA) closed down 0.8% amid headlines that CEO Elon Musk sold roughly $8.4 billion in TSLA shares this week, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The reports follow Monday’s headlines that Musk will buy Twitter (TWTR) for $44 billion. Yesterday, the billionaire tweeted that he is not planning to sell any additional shares. TSLA stock finished the week down more than 12%, but CFRA Research analyst Garrett Nelson said this “weakness presents an attractive entry point in one of the market’s most compelling growth stories.” He reiterated a Strong Buy recommendation on the shares, adding that “pressure from large stock sales by Musk have created opportunity for investors to buy shares at a discount in the past.”Intel (INTC) was the worst Dow Jones stock today, shedding 6.90% after earnings. In its fiscal second quarter, the semiconductor firm reported a 7%year-over-year decline in revenue to $18.35 billion – slightly more than analysts were expecting – while gross margin narrowed to 50.4% from 55.2%. INTC also offered weaker-than-anticipated current-quarter guidance, citing inventory and inflation challenges. Oppenheimer analyst Rick Schafer maintained a Perform (Neutral) rating on Intel, saying the bar is raised for the second half. “The company is in prove-it mode as management pushes capacity expansion and return to process leadership,” Schafer writes in a note to clients. “We remain sidelined for now.” Sell in May and Go Away? Not So Fast.What can investors expect going forward? Next week brings the start of a new month – as well as renewed focus on the old “Sell in May and Go Away” adage, familiar to many because of the tendency for stock returns to historically underperform in the six months between May and October. Here at Kiplinger, we believe investors are better off just sticking around.
That certainly doesn’t mean that we think stocks have the all-clear to head higher in May. There are numerous worries – inflation and rate hikes, for example – that will likely continue to impact markets.
What’s more, “down Aprils tend to be followed by down Mays,” says Chris Larkin, managing director of trading at E*TRADE. “And on top of that, May’s average return is even worse when the S&P 500 is red for the year heading into the month.”
Instead of fretting, investors should focus on their core portfolio, which can easily be built with some solid, low-cost funds such as those that make up our Kiplinger 25 – our favorite actively managed no-load mutual funds – or our Kiplinger ETF 20, the best cheap exchange-traded funds you can buy. And for those who want to mix some tactical positions into their portfolio, consider these stocks with strong profit margins. These well-managed firms have the potential to do well across different economic environments and have reasonable valuations to boot.
Karee Venema was long AAPL as of this writing.